A public accountability project

You didn't vote for these wars.
You're paying for them anyway.

A live estimate of what Trump's wars have cost American taxpayers — plus the higher gas prices caused by the Iran war — and what that money could have funded instead.

Total war cost + increased gas cost  Live
$0
0d   00h   00m   00s  since Feb 28, 2026
Burning $0 / second
Epic Fury cost per Pentagon testimony (May 12) + blockade/ceasefire estimate + Southern Spear + Midnight Hammer + increased gas costs. Methodology ↓
Your personal war tax
War cost
per US taxpayer · live
Gas cost
per driver · live
$— + $— =
your total

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"It's not possible for us to take care of day care, Medicaid, Medicare, all these individual things. We have to take care of one thing: military protection."

— President Donald Trump, April 2, 2026
What $54 billion could have funded instead
0
days of coverage
Daycare for all 10.8M enrolled US children
Or 0 weeks  ·  0 months
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"TrumpWarCosts.com provides a vital public service. The President himself said that America must choose between healthcare and wars. The American people choose healthcare and peace."

— Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University

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● Total war cost + increased gas cost
$0
0d since Feb 28, 2026
What this could have funded instead
0
days of coverage
Daycare for all 10.8M enrolled US children
www.trumpwarcosts.com  ·  Sources: PWBM · CSIS · EIA · Pentagon DCAS
HoCo Gas Station
Hormuz Oil Company
Prices going
STRAIT UP!
Before Iran War
$2.949
Gas Price Today
$4.475
↑ Extra paid at the pump · war tax
$158.09
Source: EIA weekly retail gas prices · 238M licensed drivers (FHWA)
Want to learn more about our methods and calculations?
Check our sources ↓

Human cost

American lives at stake.

American deaths
15
14 Epic Fury · 1 Southern Spear · 0 Absolute Resolve
American injuries
416
409 Epic Fury · 0 Southern Spear · 7 Absolute Resolve
Casualty expenses
$68.7M
Funerals + treatment · paid by US taxpayers
Troops in active combat zones
50K – 60K
Epic Fury ~40K · Southern Spear ~15K · Sources: WarCosts.org, Soufan Center

Cost breakdown

Three operations. A huge bill for Americans.

Operation Epic Fury
Iran · Started Feb 28, 2026
Ongoing · ~$40M/day est. (ceasefire) + $20M/confirmed violation
$29B per Pentagon testimony · +blockade est.
Operation Southern Spear
Venezuela/Caribbean · Nov 13, 2025
Ongoing · ~$31M/day
Operation Midnight Hammer
$2.15B
Iran nuclear sites · Jun 22, 2025
One-time strike
Increased gas costs
Since Feb 28, 2026 · EIA weekly data
Tracked weekly
Breakdown
Cost by operation
Epic Fury 63%, Gas 23%, Southern Spear 9%, Midnight Hammer 4%.
Epic Fury$33.3B
Gas costs$21.4B
Southern Spear$4.5B
Midnight Hammer$2.2B
Operation Epic Fury · Cost phases
Five phases. One escalating bill.
How the daily burn rate changed from the opening salvo to today's ceasefire/blockade posture. Bar width = duration. Bar height = daily rate.
Cumulative Epic Fury cost
Verified (PWBM/CSIS)
Estimate (P5 — admin non-reporting)
⚠ PHASE 5 — ESTIMATE ONLY
The Trump administration declined to report costs for the ceasefire/blockade phase. OMB Director Vought refused to provide figures in testimony. The ~$40M/day figure is a conservative estimate from confirmed naval deployments. Confirmed ceasefire violation events — defined as any US strike on Iranian territory or Iranian attack on US military assets — are counted separately at $20M per event, a conservative floor based on interceptor and standoff munitions costs only (PAC-3 ~$4M/round; JASSM-ER ~$1.5M/unit). Actual per-event costs including sortie hours, logistics, and facility repair are higher. We deliberately err low. If active bombing resumes at scale, this tracker reverts to Phase 4 ($500M/day).
Epic Fury — Pentagon testimony vs. full picture
Pentagon testimony
$29.0B
Hurst, HAC May 12, 2026.
Munitions, O&M, equipment.
PWBM / CSIS estimate
$34.1B
Penn Wharton + CSIS phase
model + equipment damage.
As of Apr 7 — covers Days 1–40 only. Predates Phase 5.
Relevant reporting
"True cost of Iran war closer to $50 billion, not $25 billion, U.S. officials say"
U.S. officials told CBS News the Pentagon's sworn figure understates the true cost. CNN separately confirmed the full estimate is $40–50B — and reported that the war has already triggered a $292M Army training budget cut and cancelled medical courses, with the Navy warning of impacts on recruiting and readiness.
CBS News ↗ · CNN ↗
We use the Pentagon's sworn figure as our Epic Fury floor. The ~$6.2B gap between the two figures reflects Phase 5 ceasefire/blockade accrual and items Hurst acknowledged were excluded from testimony (base repair costs) — no supplemental spending request has been filed with Congress. See methodology ↓

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Economic impact

The broader cost.

Not tracked in our data, but worth knowing. The war's financial ripple effects are showing up across the US economy.

War-driven inflation
Bureau of Labor Statistics · May 12, 2026
April inflation hits 3.8% — highest annual rate since May 2023 as energy prices surge for second straight month
3.8%
annual CPI rate, up from 3.3% in March
+28.4%
gasoline index year-over-year
+17.9%
overall energy index year-over-year

Energy accounted for more than 40% of the headline April gain. Real average hourly wages fell 0.5% for the month and 0.3% annually — meaning workers are falling behind at the pump and everywhere else. Core inflation, at 2.8%, is holding above the Fed's 2% target.

BLS CPI release ↗
New York Times · May 22, 2026
$190.47
What the Iran War Is Costing You — the average American household has spent $190.47 more on gasoline since Feb. 28

Brown University researchers tracked the full economic footprint: higher pump prices, $4.55/gal nationally, $6.13 in California. Lower-income households spend 4.2% of income on gas vs. 2.7% for wealthier ones. Americans are buying less groceries and skipping medical care. 45 million extra bus rides in March alone. Diesel costs are feeding through to food prices — tomatoes up 40% year-over-year.

NYT Interactive ↗
Axios · May 7, 2026
2027
Gas prices won't return to pre-war levels any time soon — analysts say early 2027 at the earliest

Even a peace deal won't quickly reverse pump prices. GasBuddy's head of petroleum analysis sees prices recovering in thirds — the last third taking until early or mid-2027. Energy Secretary Wright acknowledged prices may not fall to pre-war levels until next year. S&P Global says prices are "unlikely to return to pre-war levels before the end of the year."

Axios ↗
CNBC / Philadelphia Fed · May 15, 2026
6%
Top economists doubled their inflation forecast for Q2 — from 2.7% to 6% — after the Iran war sent energy prices soaring

The Philadelphia Fed's Survey of Professional Forecasters — the blue-ribbon panel polled each quarter — put Q2 headline CPI at 6%, up from a pre-war estimate of 2.7%. PCE inflation landed at 4.5%. Forecasters simultaneously cut growth expectations, projecting GDP at 2.1% annualized in Q2 and slowing to 1.9% in 2027. Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, who has signaled a preference for lower rates, now faces a stagflation environment that makes cuts politically and economically difficult.

CNBC ↗ · Philadelphia Fed ↗

The running total

How much?

Cumulative cost
Operation Epic Fury over time
Live
War cost Gas cost
Cumulative war and gas cost chart — live.
War cost per US taxpayer
War cost only ÷ 165M taxpayers (IRS)
Increased gas cost per driver
Gas increase only ÷ 238M licensed drivers (FHWA)
Daily cost comparison
What $516 million per day could fund instead
Daily costs: War $516M, Daycare $390M, Medicaid $2,553M, Medicare $3,074M.
At this daily burn rate, the war could cover roughly one-sixth of Medicare's daily operations — enough to fund care for roughly 11 million older adults per day. Note: this rate reflects the ceasefire/blockade posture from April 8; the rate was significantly higher during active combat operations.
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Methodology & sources

How we calculate this.

This tracker uses only hard, sourced costs — direct federal military spending and verified gas price data. It does not include broader economic impact estimates, which are significantly higher but harder to pin down precisely.

Pentagon's official figure — May 12, 2026
$29,000,000,000

Acting Pentagon Comptroller Jules Hurst testified before the House Appropriations Committee that the war has cost approximately $29 billion, covering munitions, operations & maintenance, and equipment replacement for Operation Epic Fury. Updated from $25B (Apr 29 HASC testimony). Reuters ↗

What this figure does not include: Operation Southern Spear (Venezuela/Caribbean, ongoing since Nov 2025), Operation Midnight Hammer (Iran nuclear sites, Jun 2025), increased gas costs borne by American drivers, KIA/WIA casualty expenses, and the ongoing ceasefire/blockade phase costs — for which a supplemental spending request has not yet been filed with Congress.

Our tracker adds these documented, sourced costs on top of the Pentagon's floor. The gap between $25B and our figure is not a dispute with the government — it is the sum of what they haven't counted yet.

NOTUS ↗ CNBC ↗ Washington Times ↗
Penn Wharton Budget Model · Apr 1, 2026
Epic Fury costs modeled in five phases: Phase 1 (Days 1–6, ~$2.1B/day), Phase 2 (Days 7–24, ~$601M/day), Phase 3 (Days 25–32, ~$500M/day), Phase 4 (Apr 1–7, ~$500M/day base case). Cumulative through Apr 7: $30.9B. Source ↗
Phase 5 estimate · Apr 8, 2026 onwards — Ceasefire/Blockade posture
The Trump administration has declined to publicly report operational costs for this phase. OMB Director Russell Vought refused to state a cost figure during congressional testimony. This estimate is derived from: publicly verified naval deployments (USNI News, The War Zone, Apr 20 2026) — 2 active carrier strike groups (~$6.5M/day each, per CNAS/Capt. Hendrix), 2 amphibious ready groups, 7 independent destroyers, and ~50,000 personnel in theater — scaled against CSIS's verified $31M/day figure for Operation Southern Spear, which involved 1 CSG and ~15,000 troops. Conservative estimate: ~$40M/day. We deliberately err low in the absence of official reporting. USNI ↗  CSIS ↗
CSIS · Cancian & Park · Jan 20, 2026
Operation Southern Spear estimated at $31M/day. Equipment damage in Epic Fury detailed in Table 4 (Mar 13, 2026): F-15Es, KC-135, THAAD radar, Reapers, infrastructure — $2.34B total. Source ↗
EIA Weekly Gas Price Data
Gas cost increase calculated weekly: (weekly price − $2.94 baseline) × 376M gallons/day × 7. Baseline = national average Feb 28, 2026. Last entry: $4.475/gal (week of May 25). Source ↗
Brown University Costs of War Project
Operation Midnight Hammer (Jun 22, 2025) estimated at $2.04B–$2.26B. Midpoint $2.15B used. Source ↗
Pentagon DCAS · April 8, 2026
Casualty figures from the Defense Casualty Analysis System — the DoD's official, verified repository. Epic Fury: 14 KIA, 409 WIA as of May 27, 2026 (DCAS direct check). Southern Spear: 1 KIA (non-combat). Absolute Resolve: 0 KIA, 7 WIA. Note: DCAS combined total dropped unexpectedly from 428 to 413 on Apr 21; Pentagon has not commented. The Intercept ↗
Opportunity cost data
Daycare: $142.2B/year total national cost (Child Care Aware of America, 2024). Medicaid: $931.7B/year (CMS NHE Accounts, 2024). Medicare: $1,122.1B/year (CMS NHE Accounts, 2024).
Troop deployment estimates
Epic Fury: ~40,000 troops per WarCosts.org, corroborated by the deployment of two carrier strike groups, B-2/B-52 air wings, and CENTCOM ground support. Southern Spear: ~15,000 personnel per The Soufan Center (Nov 14, 2025) and CSIS. Figures are open-source estimates — exact numbers are classified. Midnight Hammer excluded as a completed one-time strike. Range of 50K–60K reflects rounding and fleet crew variability.
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